The yield curve is not easily understood, but it is important in giving us a good look at what is happening in the economy. Not surprisingly, Austrian ...

In my 50-plus years of running money, I’ve noticed that the biggest market moves come from factors that have gone unnoticed – and right now, there’s a doozy lurking under the table. Amid all the ...

I still remember back in 2006, when the curve inverted ahead of the financial crisis. Hardly anyone outside of bankers, economists, hardcore investors and bond traders knew what it meant. But by 2008, ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Global Investor and educator focused on strategies to build wealth. A quietly steepening European yield curve signals opportunity ...

The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of ...

Shorter-term US Treasury yields have fallen, while yields on longer-dated bonds could remain elevated, thanks to the threat of higher inflation and investor concerns surrounding the federal deficit.

The 2-year/10-year Bund spread closed the week at a positive 0.105%, a change from 0.224% last week. As a result, today’s simulation shows that the maximum probability of a return to negative spreads ...